Football Tips 26/03/2013

The best way to work our system is to use it as a pick n mix. We’ll tell you why we picked the games and you are free to choose from the choices you like the look of. You can back our new system as singles, doubles, trebles or you can even push the boat and cover everything with a small stake. See the bottom of this page for how you might want to place your bets depending on the risk you want to take.

• Poland (-3 HANDICAP)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7.45 PM KO (Home)
  Best Odds: 2/9 (1.33) Will Hill | League Position: 4th | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  You guys know the drill here, San Marino are the worst team in the world, have never won and come into this game off an 8-0 thrashing to England where 1 corner kick and a shot off target is the best they can take from the game. Poland’s form in the group has been patchy so far with only 1 win in 4 and currently sitting in 4th, level on points with Ukraine and need a win tonight to have any chance of catching England. We could describe Poland’s past form in the competition but to be honest just the sight of their main man Lewandowski is enough to bring back painful memories of the 10-0 thrashing they suffered the last time they met and push all but 1 man into the 6 yard box!
   
• Italy (-1 HANDICAP)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7.45 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) Sky Bet | League Position: 1st | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  As mentioned in the other Group B tip, Malta are the whipping boys of the group, 147th in the world rankings and have never won a World Cup qualification game, that’s 44 games in a row without a win in this competition! They have scored only 1 goal in 14 games and conceded a massive 38 in the process, 9 in their last 2 games. Italy on the other hand have only lost once in their 44, this was back in 2004, and have scored at least 2 goals in their last 8 fixtures. These two have met 5 times previous, Italy have emerged with 3 points every time, all but one by more than 1 goal.As mentioned in the other Group B tip, Malta are the whipping boys of the group, 147th in the world rankings and have never won a World Cup qualification game, that’s 44 games in a row without a win in this competition! They have scored only 1 goal in 14 games and conceded a massive 38 in the process, 9 in their last 2 games. Italy on the other hand have only lost once in their 44, this was back in 2004, and have scored at least 2 goals in their last 8 fixtures. These two have met 5 times previous, Italy have emerged with 3 points every time, all but one by more than 1 goal.  

• Russia U21 (-2 HANDICAP)
  International – European U21 Championship Qualifier 3.00 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 3/10 (1.33) Bet 365 | League Position: N/A | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > European U21 C’ship
  Russia U21 play the first game of their U21 qualification tonight and we fully expect them to start strong and claim all 3 points tonight. In their last 18 competitive games Russia U21 have only lost twice, a run which goes back to 2009. Andorra U21 on the other hand have been terrible and have a record of 2 draws and 18 losses in 20 competitive matches, a run which stretches way back to 2006. The last 2 head to heads between these two teams both ended in 4-0 wins for Russia U21. Russia U21 are currently ranked 8th in the UEfA rankings whilst Andorra U21 are way below them in 50th.
   
• Czech Republic (DRAW NO BET)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 4.00 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 10/21 (1.48) Bet Fair | League Position: 4th | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  Based on the FIFA world rankings this match should be a walk in the park for 27th placed Czech Republic who travel to 84th, Armenia. There are only 2 possible qualification places available for the final and Armenia sit in 5th of 6 at the moment, 1 win in 3 and this against Malta, a team who will be seen a free points to everyone in the group. Czech currently have 5 points and sit 4th in the group on goal difference, a win tonight can see them move up to 3rd, 1 place behind possible placement into the next round. The past 2 times these have met ended in 4-1 and 3-0 wins for our tip. Czech have only lost once in 9 away games (all competitions) but 3 of these were draws, based on this we are going for a draw no bet as we feel the odds for a straight win were good enough to allow this.
   
• England (DRAW NO BET)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 8.00 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 2/5 (1.40) Bet Victor | League Position: 1st | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  Group H has turned into a 2 team battle between England and Montenegro, 6 points clear of the Ukraine in 3rd and both battling to take the top automatic tournament spot. Montenegro are 2 points ahead due to their win over the Ukraine and can go 5 points clear if they manage to make it 5 wins in a row. England have managed 23 scored and 2 conceded during their 6 win streak in Qualification games, losing only once in 17! Montenegro are also enjoying strong form in the competition, 8 games unbeaten. These two have met twice before, 2-2 and 0-0. We feel that England do have the quality on the pitch tonight with Rooney, Chamberlain and Young showing there force against San Marino last week, but based on previous head 2 head meetings and Montenegro’s current strong form we are going for the draw no bet option.
   
• Argentina
  International – World Cup Qualifying – South America 8.00 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 20/23 (1.87) Bet Victor | League Position: 1st | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  Argentina play Bolivia today and we feel Argentina will keep up their recent good form and take a win here. First placed Argentina managed a comfortable 3-0 win against fifth placed Venezuela last time out whilst Bolivia suffered badly in a 5-0 loss against Colombia. Bolivia are down in eighth position with only 2 wins in this qualification group. Argentina have scored the most goals in the group with 23 stikes so far in 10 games whilst Bolivia have the worst defensive record conceding 19 times in 10 games. Argentina take to the field with the top two strikers in the group in Messi and Higuain who have scored 17 goals between them. The last two games did however end in a draw but that was back in 2011.
   
• Colombia (DRAW NO BET)
  International – World Cup Qualifying South America 12:00 AM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 8/15 (1.53) Bet Victor | League Position: 2nd | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > International Matches
  Coloumbia play away against Venezuela in this late night game and we fancy Colombia to get a result here, hopefully a win. Colombia sit in 2nd place whilst opponents Venezuela are down in 5th position. Colombia have been on a great run recently and are unbeaten in 7 games drawing 1 and winning 6. Venezuela on the other hand have lost 2 in a row and only won 1 in their last 8 games. Colombia’s form has been so good that they have managed to rise to number 6 in the world FIFA rankings whilst Venezuela are ranked 43rd in the world. The last 2 head to heads finished in a 1-1 draw and a Colombia 2-0 win. Its worth noting that Colombia have the best defensive record in the group with only 6 goals conceded.
   

• Denmark v Bulgaria (DRAW)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7.15 PM KO (Away)
  Best Odds: 11/4 (3.75) Bet 365 | League Position: N/A | Bet 365 Path: Internationals > World Cup Qualifying
  Denmark play Bulgaria and we fancy this match to end in a draw. Bulgaria currently sit 2nd in the group whilst opponents Denmark are 4 points behind in 3rd. Bulgaria will be desperate to get something out of the game and keep their advantage over Denmark as Denmark currently have a game in hand. In 5 qualification games Bulgaria have already managed 3 draws whilst Denmark have had 2 draws in 4 qualification games. They have already played the reverse fixture in this group with the game ending in a 1-1 draw.

Below is a list of tips we considered for today’s tips but didn’t add above. All these tips have a chance, but we elected not to have them in our official list.

• Germany (-2 HANDICAP)
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7:30 PM KO (Home) (1.20)
  Germany win this fixture 3 to 4 nil usually, we’re playing it safe with -2 and the odds are too short to back it in the tips.
• Holland
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7:30 PM KO (Home) (1.33)
  Couple of injuries worries scared us off Holland for tonight, but they should be good enough to beat Romania at home.
• Belgium
  International – World Cup Qualifying 7:30 PM KO (Home) (1.20)
  Belgium have their best generation of players ever right now. Should be able to win against Macedonia, odds very low.

• Poland (-3 HANDICAP)
• Italy (-1 HANDICAP)
• Argentina

• Russia U21 (-2 HANDICAP)
• Czech Republic (DRAW NO BET)
• England (DRAW NO BET)
• Colombia (DRAW NO BET)

• England
• Poland (-4 HANDICAP)
• Germany (-3 HANDICAP)
• Italy (-2 HANDICAP)
• Belgium
• Serbia
• Argentina
• Colombia
• Kidderminster